Composite signal at decile 10/10 (ELEVATED) as of 2026-06-12 → calibrated P(8%+ drawdown within 120 trading days) = 33% (base rate 10%) — WARNING: CI lower bound exceeds the base rate.
Price & technical overlays
Track record
composite hit decile 9-10 (high warning) on 863 days; of those, 262 (30%) preceded a real 8%+ drawdown over the next 120 days · base rate 9.8%