KOSPI (^KS11)

^KS11 · generated 2026-06-14 16:46:35

Composite risk gauge

Composite signal at decile 8/10 (WATCH) as of 2026-06-12 → calibrated P(8%+ drawdown within 120 trading days) = 18% (base rate 15%)

composite hit decile 9-10 (high warning) on 884 days; of those, 298 (34%) preceded a real 8%+ drawdown over the next 120 days · base rate 15.0%