Taiwan (^TWII)

^TWII · generated 2026-06-14 16:46:35

Composite risk gauge

Composite signal at decile 7/10 (WATCH) as of 2026-06-12 → calibrated P(8%+ drawdown within 120 trading days) = 11% (base rate 12%)

composite hit decile 9-10 (high warning) on 796 days; of those, 198 (25%) preceded a real 8%+ drawdown over the next 120 days · base rate 12.2%